Solution 17.7
Choose 12 ratios from the following
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2013 |
2012 |
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PROFITABILITY |
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Gross profit margin |
Gross profit x 100 |
£7,461 |
73.8% |
£8,186 |
74.7% |
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Sales |
£10,100 |
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£10,952 |
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Operating margin |
Operating profit (PBIT) x 100 |
£3,184 |
31.5% |
£3,315 |
30.27% |
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sales |
£10,100 |
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£10,952 |
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Expenses to sales |
Expenses x 100 |
£4,277 |
42.3% |
£4,871 |
44.4% |
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sales |
£10,100 |
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£10,952 |
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ROCE |
Net profit (PBIT) x 100 |
£3,184 |
22.67% |
£3,315 |
24.7% |
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Capital Employed |
£14,047 |
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£13,414 |
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ROOE |
NP after I & T |
£2,316 |
29.9% |
£2,307 |
35.97% |
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Total equity |
£7,747 |
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£6,414 |
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LIQUIDITY |
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Current ratio |
Current Assets |
£491 |
0.465 : 1 |
£517 |
0.487 : 1 |
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Current Liabilities |
£1,055 |
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£1,060 |
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Quick-acid test ratio |
Current Assets - Stock |
£196 |
0.185 : 1 |
£217 |
0.204 : 1 |
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Current Liabilities |
£1,055 |
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£1,060 |
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EFFICIENCY/USE OF ASSETS |
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N.C. asset turnover |
Sales |
£10,100 |
0.7 : 1 |
£10,952 |
0.805 : 1 |
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Non current assets |
£14,408 |
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£13,600 |
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Capital employed turnover |
Sales |
£10,100 |
0.719 : 1 |
£10,952 |
0.816 : 1 |
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Capital employed |
£14,047 |
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£13,414 |
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Inventory Turnover |
Cost of Sales |
£2,639 |
8.95 times |
£2,766 |
9.22 times |
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Average stock |
295 |
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300 |
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Inventory days |
Average stock x 365 |
295 |
40.8 days |
300 |
39.6 days |
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Cost of sales |
£2,639 |
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£2,766 |
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Debtors days |
Accounts receivable x 365 |
£160 |
5.78 days |
£175 |
5.83 days |
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Credit sales |
£10,100 |
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£10,952 |
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Creditors days |
Accounts payable x 365 |
£300 |
41.5 days |
£351 |
46 days |
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Credit purchases |
£2,639 |
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£2,766 |
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE |
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Gearing |
Fixed interest debt |
£6,300 |
0.81 : 1 |
£7,000 |
1.09 : 1 |
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Shareholders funds |
£7,747 |
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£6,414 |
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Interest cover |
Net profit (PBIT) |
£3,184 |
6.37 : 1 |
£3,315 |
6.0 : 1 |
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Interest |
£500 |
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£552 |
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INVESTMENT |
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Earnings per share |
PP after I & T & pref dividend |
£2,316 |
0.386 |
£2,307 |
0.384 |
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Number of shares |
6,000 |
(38.6 cent) |
6000 |
(38.4 cent) |
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Price earnings ratio (P/E) |
Market price of share |
170 cent |
4.04 times |
200 cent |
5.2 times |
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EPS |
38.6 cent |
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38.4 cent |
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Dividend cover |
Profit available to pay dividend |
£2,316 |
5.8 times |
£2,307 |
4.16 times |
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Dividends paid and proposed |
£400 |
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£554 |
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Dividend yield |
Dividend per share x 100 |
6.66 |
3.9% |
9.2 |
4.6% |
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Market price per share |
170 |
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200 |
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The Report to Directors should include the following points.
Turnover and operating profit has decreased by 7.8% and 4% respectively between 2012 and 2013.
ROCE has fallen from 24.7% to 22.6%. The returns are excellent but the fall would be of concern
The ROOE has also fallen but at 29% is still an excellent return for equity shareholders
When one breaks down the ROCE into its component parts there is a slight increase in the operating profit margin (30.2% - 31.5%) and a fall in the capital employed turnover (0.82 – 0.72)
The operating profit percentage has increased despite a fall in the gross profit percentage of 1%. The reason for the increase has been the fall in the expenses to sales % which fell 2%. This fall in gross profit percentage could be due to
The company not achieving its target selling price possibly due to greater competition or a fall in demand for the holiday products on offer. This fall in demand could be due to external factors such as airline safety, terrorism etc.
The company not achieving its target sales mix and is thus selling more of its lower margin products.
Suppliers of accommodation increasing their prices.
A decrease in the expenses to sales percentage (44.4% to 42.3%) This is mainly due to a reduction of 19% in the sales and distribution expenses. Administration expenses also fell by 4%.A greater break down of expenses is required to identify where the saving were made.
The capital employed turnover ratio has decreased from 0.82 to 0.72 per € invested in the business. This reflects the fall in sales turnover. The company is now only generating 72 cent in sales per € invested in the business. This reflects a falling demand caused by possibly greater competition or a reluctance to travel for a wide range of reasons.
As this company has a low investment in current assets the inventory and accoutns receivable/debtors turnover ratios are not significant and there are no significant changes in these indicators.
The cash flow of the company has deteriorated going from a negative cash position of €260,000 in 2012 to an negative position of €370,000 in 2013. This is a negative cash flow of €110,000.
The current and quick ratios have not changes significantly and are in line with norms for the hospitality and tourism sectors.
The company was considered neutral geared with a debt to equity ratio of 109% in 2012. However this has come down to 81% in 2013.
The interest cover ratios are quite high at over 6 times in both years. Most financial institutions require a interest cover rate of 3 times thus the company has no issues in servicing its current debt levels
The EPS of the company has remained steady of the period although share price has fallen 15% from €2.00 to €1.70. The P/E ratio is quite low at 5.2 times in 2012 and based on the current share price of €1.70 has fallen to 4 times. The P/E reflects the low level of confidence the market has in the company’s ability to maintain current returns. It also could reflect the markets concern for the sector as a whole. As the travel tourism and hospitality sectors are very sensitive to external factors such as terrorism, oil prices etc. it would be important to assess if other companies within the sector are experiencing abnormally low P/E’s.
Dividend cover is has increased from steady at 4 times to 5.6 times telling us the company is paying out less dividend per share and hence the yield has fallen. The market may judge this however to be a prudent move with more profits retained in the business during times of uncertainty
Overall the key indicators for this company suggest it has been a good year with excellent returns of capital recorded although they are significantly reduced from 2012 levels. The liquidity situation is stable and gearing has improved with the debt to equity ratio recorded at a reasonable level of 80% in 2013. The company’s share price is down 15% and the company stands on a low P/E rating reflecting the lack of confidence the market has at present in the company. It is important to set this performance in context as it could explain the reasons for this poor performance. The questions that are crucial to ask are ‘is this a blip or a trend’ and ‘does it relate to the sector as a whole of just the company’.